July 04, 2008

CAN I MAKE A WILD GUESS, TOO?

I can't believe we're supposed to take these morons seriously.

According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the global sea level is expected to rise between nine and 88 centimetres by 2100, with a 'best estimate' of 50 centimetres.

9... to 88...

A range of 79 cm, or about 31 inches.

Wow... could they be any LESS precise? "Might be a couple inches, might be a yard".

That's not even a SWAG. That's just a WAG.

Well, to celebrate Independence Day, I'm giving a good ol' American finger to these international dipsqueaks by making MY highly scientific prediction on the expected rise in global sea level:

Between 0 and 8 centimeters.

Which is 10 times more precise, and has just as much chance of being accurate as any other prediction about a chaotic system that is - by its nature - absolutely immune to prediction.

Lorenz's discovery, which gave its name to Lorenz attractors, proved that meteorology could not reasonably predict weather beyond a weekly period (at most).

When someone can give me an accurate 10 day weather forecast, I'll start listening to 100 year weather forecasts.

Or not.

Like global warming, it's kinda hard to predict.

Posted by: Harvey at 11:36 AM | No Comments | Add Comment
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